November Results

 

ts-plus-roi

november selections

Saturday, November 30, 2024

Tampa Bay: Race 9

- (6) Eddie The Great 12-1**

This 5 year old gelding is the only speed in the race having gone sub 23.00 - 45.00 in all three sprints prior to this, so, he should get the lead easily. Additionally, he has shown closing ability despite those fractions last time out, gaining 7.5 lengths from the second call to finish at Aqueducts turf course. Has only one place from 4 starts at the distance and has not raced at Tampa Bay Downs. M. Simone has a good record going sprint-sprint-route (20%), and Pablo Morales should be able to wire this field...

Result: Finished 5th (Broke last...)

Friday, November 29, 2024

Aqueduct: Race 7

- (3) Baby Yoda 12-1*

Last race 2 months ago at 7F, fading. Has 4/10 wins at the distance (8/10 WPS), 2/7 wins at the track (5/7 WPS), and has four nice works since the last race, last being a 47.0 at 4F 5 days ago.

Should be fresh and ready...

Result: Finished 6th

Thursday, November 28, 2024

Gulfstream: Race 5

- (4) Deflection 20-1*

Last race 41 days ago here an even effort, finishing 6th, six lengths behind. This 3 year old is loaded with speed, last 3 races all going sub 22.00 - 45.00. Now, third race off a layoff and having 3 5F workouts over the last 21 days, should help in finishing strong. Has a win at the track, distance and turf. A race full of speed, wide open, but .....

Result: Finished 6th

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Parx: Race 4

- (6) Fenwick Jack 12-1*

Last 3 races was 38, 26, and 19 lengths behind at the first call. If he gets somewhat of a cleaner break, he has the speed to ourun these quite easily. A 4F workout of 47.0 seven days ago bodes well in my opinion. He is 4/9 WPS at the track and has 1 race at this distance. He's also getting somewhat of a weight break, so, looking for a turnaround performance.

Result: Finished 2nd:  $16.80 - $7.00

Tuesday, November 26, 2024

Parx: Race 2

- (9) Mega Charlie 6-1**

Last race at Penn 19 days ago, finished 4th as the favorite, showed plenty early foot but faded. Today going longer, has won twice at the distance and 4 times at Parx. Robert Mosco wins at a 26% clip with beaten favorites. With his early speed, this 6 year old gelded veteran should dictate the pace and prevail at the end...

Result: Finished 2nd:  $7.80 - $3.80

Sunday, November 24, 2024

Aqueduct: Race 2

- (4) Hatch 12-1**

Won here 24 days ago essentially wire-to-wire. Has been claimed in each of his last 3 races, stepping up in class, but is in very sharp form and worked 4F 7 days ago in 47.8. Loves this track (9/14 WPS) and distance (10/17 WPS). Will be a factor...

Result: Finished 3rd:  $3.60

Churchill Downs: Race 1

- (1) Mcafee 8-1***

Won here 24 days ago at 6F, going 21.5 and 45.7, and making up over 11 lengths from the first call to finish in only start. Now going 1 mile, worked a very nice 46.8 4F 7 days ago. Dutrow is over 40% with last race maiden winners. With his early speed and late kick, should be able to handle these...

Result: Finished 2nd:  $3.40 - $2.18

Del Mar: Race 1

- (2) Laugier Night 6-1**

Last race 57 days ago, going longer, showed speed (21.9, 44.1), finished 5th less than 3 lengths behind winner. Now, cutting back in distance and has 4 very strong workouts since that race. One for 2 at the track and distance. Seems ready, has plenty of speed, and just might wire these...

Result: Finished 4th

Del Mar: Race 5

- (11) Evening Sun 10-1**

Last race was 36 days ago at Santa Anita at same distance and surface. It was a sneaky good race, finishing 7th, but less than 2 lengths behind the winner. Has won twice at the distance, and once at the track. The 7 year old gelding has three fantastic workouts since the last race, 58.8 and 59.0 at 5F and one 4F workout of 46.4 at Santa Anita. Will be there at the end...

Result: Finished 7th

Monday, November 18, 2024

Parx: Race 2

- (2) Obstinate 10-1**

This 7 year old mare raced 34 days ago, awful, claimed. Now making first start for new connections, breezed 5F 20 days ago, 5/19 W at distance (12/19 WPS), 6/38 at track (20/38 WPS). Her speed figures tower over all of these, and has the best time at the distance. Should be fresh and ready...

Result: Finished 2nd:  $5.80 - $3.60

Sunday, November 17, 2024

Del Mar: Race 2

- (2) Gem Mine 3-1**

Last race 9 days ago at a mile, where this mare was in the lead at the 5F mark, faded to finish 4th, 5 1/2 lengths behind the winner. Now cutting back to 5F distance, has the best early speed by far, and, with the extra conditioning from the last race, should wire these relatively easily...

Del Mar: Race 6

Result: Finished 4th

- (8) Rank 9-2***

Just missed at Santa Anita 35 days ago, beaten by less than a length. Has three workouts since then, the last 2 within 14 days, going sub 0:59 at 5 furlongs. Should break his maiden status today...

Result: Finished 2nd:  $3.40 - $2.60

Saturday, November 16, 2024

Aqueduct: Race 6

- (9) Blame It On Daddy 20-1**

A very competitive race and anyone can win it, however, (9) Blame It On Daddy has plenty going on. Ran a sneaky good race 29 days ago at this track, surface, and distance, finished 7th with a time rivaling the best of any horse here. Today is the 3rd race off a layoff (H. De Paz is 18%), blinkers are coming off, and has worked twice in the last 14 days with sub 0:38 3F workouts. Downside - hasn't hit the board in prior 2 tries at the distance or track - just might change that today...

Result: Finished 6th (Squeezed at break to last, losing all chance)

Friday, November 15, 2024

Del Mar: Race 4

- (2) Unwritten Code 6-1***

Won 3/10 at the distance (5/10 wps), 1/3 at the track (2/3 wp), 2/11 on turf (4/11 wps), ran a longer race 21 days ago setting very fast fractions - 21.7 and 44.4 and fading in the stretch of a 6F race. Now, cuts back to 5F with a 35.8 3F workout 10 days ago. Should be ready to fire...

Result: Won $7.40 - $4.60 - $3.40

Thursday, November 14, 2024

Aqueduct: Race 3

- (7) Winnin'Onweekends 5-2 **

Ran 19 days ago at this track going longer, finished 2nd, less than 2 lengths behind. Today cutting back in distance, has tons of early speed as well as the highest closing speed numbers.

(8) Smile Mon did win convincingly last out, and probably will be the favorite, however, the numbers strongly favor (7) Winnin'Onweekends.

Result: Finished 4th

Tuesday, November 12, 2024

Parx: Race 5

- Exacta Box: (1) Olliemeister 5-2 ; (7) Jebologist 8-1

Two standout horses in this race. Olliemeister just missed three weeks ago and Jebologist two weeks ago. They both tower over the others in early and late speed figures. Both have won at this distance and track - hoping they will battle each other in the stretch with no one else close.

Result: Finished 2nd and 3rd

Saturday, November 9, 2024

Aqueduct: Race 2

- (2) Mariachi 3-1***

Four out of 7 at the distance (6/7 WP), 2 out of 4 at the track, 2 very nice workouts for this, has best distance and dirt speed numbers. Should win this relatively easily.

Result: Finished 2nd:  $5.00 - $2.80

 

Del Mar: Race 5

- (1) Run For Kidder 15-1***

Last race 2 months ago, monster workouts for this, won only try at distance, track, and surface. Has post 1 and must get a clean brake to wire the field.

Result: Won $17.40 - $6.20 - $4.80

Friday, November 8, 2024

Aqueduct: Race 9

- (9) Mohawk Trail 15-1 *

Ran longer race at Keeneland 22 days ago, excellent 4F workout 6 days ago, 47.0, should be a factor. Downside, no races at distance or track.

Result: Finished 7th

Sunday, November 3, 2024

Del Mar: Race 8

- (8) Des Doigts 15-1 ***

Ran recently a 4.5F race at Los Alamitos in preparation for this. Great record at distance. Should wire this field relatively easily.

Result: Won $17.00 - $10.00 - $6.00

Friday, November 1, 2024

Del Mar: Race 9

- (6) Citizen Bull 10-1 ***

Monster workouts - has great chance to go wire-to-wire

Result: Won $33.80 - $13.20 - $9.40