Longshot Selections

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04-27-2020: Will Rogers Downs

Race 7: (5) Quiet Flattering

Has 4 wins and 2 second place finishes out of 16 races at the distance, a race over the track, tons of speed (only horse in here that has ran a sub 45.0 4F), raced 21 days ago, was in the lead at the top of the stretch and then faltered, and A. Gladd has won 27.3% of races running his horse second time out. I believe this can be a wire-to-wire win, holding off the late running (12) Veronica's dream and (7) Daneira. At 20-1, a value WPS bet. Perhaps a 5-12-7 exacta box, or trifecta box can be considered here...

Bet Amount: $6.00

Results:

ls-04-27

04-26-2020: Oaklawn Park

Race 10: (8) Shilah Baby

Five out of 7 races in the money at the distance with no wins, 2 out of 3 in the money at the track, has the best early speed, and has worked 4 times in the last 31 days, setting very speedy times signaling readiness. I believe she will fire in this first race after a long layoff. At 8-1, a value WPS bet.

Bet Amount: $6.00

Results:

ls-04-26

04-25-2020: Tampa Bay Downs

Race 8: (3) Tommy Tuesday

Has only 1 race at the distance and 7 at this track with no in the money placements, however, does have exceptional speed, ran the last 2 races at 7F, cutting down the distance today, and with the early speed just might break to the lead and forget to stop. I believe that if Tommy is ever going to do it, it will be today. At 30-1, a high value WPS bet!

Bet Amount: $6.00

Results:

ls-04-25

04-23-2020: Gulfstream Park

Race 3: (11) Miriana's Queen

Here I go again with a Maiden race, however, Miriana's Queen has so much speed it's hard to ignore. Has ran sub 22.0 - 44.0 - 56.0 fractions, has races at the track and distance without success, raced 41 days ago and worked out twice since then. Should be fresh and ready... Finally, she carries my mothers name!!! At 20-1 odds, a WPS bet. The (4) Princess Avril will be dangerous as well, worth considering an exotic bet of some kind here...

Bet Amount: $6.00

Results:

ls-04-23

04-20-2020: Will Rogers Downs

Race 10: (10) Jrock

In the money in 12 out of 20 races at the distance and has a race at the track, raced an even race 14 days ago finishing 6th, has by far the best early speed and the best number at the distance as well. Looking for this 8 year old to markedly improve in this spot and at 15-1, a value WPS bet.

Bet Amount: $6.00

Results:

ls-04-21

04-20-2020: Will Rogers Downs

Race 5: (9) Leighton Kentucky  -  (10) Silver Moon Rising

I'm using both of these in today's longshot selections. Leighton Kentucky has 1 win and 2 second places out of 5 races at the distance and a place and show in 2 races at this track, raced 14 days ago and just missed, third race off a layoff, the jockey F. Wethey has won 26% of races in last 2 weeks, and the trainer H. Guillory wins over 25% of Claiming dirt sprints.
Silver Moon Rising has placed once in 3 races at this distance, has 2 races at this track, finished 4th 12 days ago, has tons of speed and the best speed figure at this distance, and also third race off a layoff. Both horses are 8-1, and although I do not frequently bet 2 horses to win, I believe a WPS bet on both is a very viable option here.

Bet Amount: $12.00

Results:

ls-04-20

04-19-2020: Gulfstream Park

Race 10: (5) No Way Jose

Has 2 races at the distance without any success, has showed once at the track out of 2 races, but has worked out 3 times in last 21 days, last race was 1/2 furlong shorter and closed 7 1/2 lengths from the second call to the finish, has tons of early speed if needed, and this is the third race off a layoff, and going sprint-sprint-route. I believe the (4) Seranitsa and (1) Pakhet will get into a heated sprint duel, setting it up for this closer. At 15-1, it's worth a WPS bet.

Bet Amount: $6.00

Results:

ls-04-19

04-18-2020: Tampa Bay Downs

Race 7: (6) Fortyeightstraight

Has 2 races at the distance with no success, raced 37 days ago finishing 7th, 5 lengths behind the winner, but, it's the only horse in the race with speed, and with a sloppy track, just might take them all the way to the wire. At 15-1, a value WPS bet.

Bet Amount: $6.00

Results:

ls-04-18

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